Kryder’s Law. Ultra geek Theory

 

Mark Kryder is Seagate’s senior VP or research and chief technology officer. He is also an authority on development of magnetic and magneto-optic data storage.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Kryder

Kyder’s law is based on Moore’s law  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore_Law.  Where PC computing power based on hardware has a predictable exponential growth curve.

Kryder’s Law basically states “ ..for storage drives: Since the introduction of the disk drive in 1956, the density of information it can record has swelled from a paltry 2,000 bits to 100 billion bits (gigabits), all crowded in the small space of a square inch. That represents a 50-million-fold increase.”

In other words data that can be stored on any kind of disk is growing rapidly.  By calculating the growth trends in disk storage, we can see it actually outpaces Moore’s law.  The CPU processing power required to use all that data will soon be eclipsed by the amount of sheer data.  This is a problem. 

If CPU’s don’t increase at a equal rate, things will slow down.  It is like overloading a car with a small motor. The motor will struggle to haul all that weight.

We can already see this effect in Mobile phones, Portable music players, and even some laptops.  There is more than enough room to store files but not enough processor power to give the appearance of a speedy system.

Kryder also states that there is not as much incentive to develop faster CPU architecture as there is data storage.  This is based on the fact of the popularity of media players and smart phones.

I to believe the general public looks more toward how much a device will hold rather than how it performs.  Ask yourself this, would you rather have a MP3 player that hold more music or one that access data faster?  I do not think it would be wrong to choose one that holds more data, but it only helps prove the theory that data storage is sometimes given priority.

I also believe the answer to this is data storage  “in the cloud”.  Things like web desktops, virtual drives hosted on a server, or home network storage drives.  We’ll see if future developments prove me correct.

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